Part of Who will win the Nice mayoral election?

Will Mireille Damiano win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves May 22, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
0.3%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.8% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$1,079.40
Liquidity
$2,749.33
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
1%

Market Microstructure

Mid
0.25%
Spread
0.10% (4000bps)
Depth
$2.7k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
May 22, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Christian Estrosi
63.5%Trade
Eric Ciotti
36.0%Trade
Jean-Marc Governatori
0.9%Trade
Juliette Chesnel-Leroux
0.4%Trade
Mireille Damiano
0.3%Trade
Person B
-Trade
Person D
-Trade
Person F
-Trade
Person H
-Trade
Person J
-Trade

Resolution Rules

The 2026 Nice municipal election is scheduled for May 15 and May 22, 2026. The Mayor of Nice, France is elected via a three-round system; if no candidate obtains an absolute majority after two rounds of voting the election proceeds to a third round which requires only a simple majority. In case of a tie, the oldest candidate wins. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).

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