Current YES Probability
28.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 74.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$31,826.04
Liquidity
$1,631.19
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
52%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
26%
Spread
4.00% (1538bps)
Depth
$1.6k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jan 3, 2027
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
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