Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Q: Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 - Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Current market consensus shows a 5% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist

Resolves Oct 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

4.5%0.0% (24h)

NO: 96.9%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$2,225.90

Liquidity

$15,462.62

Moderate

Volatility

—

Market Split

Market Microstructure

Mid

3.1%

Spread

2.80% (9032bps)

Depth

$15.5k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Oct 31, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Kylian Mbappé	27.5%	Trade
Harry Kane	19.7%	Trade
Lamine Yamal	18.0%	Trade
Erling Haaland	15.0%	Trade
Vinícius Júnior	6.5%	Trade
Pedri	4.0%	Trade
Cole Palmer	4.0%	Trade
Jude Bellingham	3.6%	Trade
Mohamed Salah	3.1%	Trade
Ousmane Dembélé	2.8%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Trending in General

Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?

+0.0%

Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?

+0.0%

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

+0.0%