Part of January Inflation US - Monthly

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in January?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Feb 11, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
57.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 59.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$720.73
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
82%

Market Microstructure

Mid
41%
Spread
32.00% (7805bps)
Depth
$721
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Feb 11, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
increase by 0.3%
41.0%Trade
increase by 0.2%
32.0%Trade
increase by 0.5% or more
17.5%Trade
increase by 0.4%
17.0%Trade
increase by 0.1% or less
8.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the number that the one-month seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased by in January 2026 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for January 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on February 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which reports to the one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

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