Will NASA have confirmed more than 4900 existing exoplanets by January 14?

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Resolves — ScalarUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
0.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 100.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
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Market Info

Resolution Date
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Resolution Rules & Criteria

This is a market on the number of confirmed exoplanets reported by NASA, on the resolution time: January 14 2022, 12 PM ET. If the number of confirmed exoplanets as reported by NASA is greater than 4900 on resolution time, this market resolves to "Yes". Otherwise, this market resolves to "No". The resolution source for this market is the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), which reports the number of confirmed exoplanets on their Exoplanet Exploration Program website: https://exoplanets.nasa.gov/. Specifically, the number above the 'confirmed' field on the main page will be considered - regardless of any other press releases. ---------------- An exoplanet is any planet beyond our solar system. Most orbit other stars, but free-floating exoplanets, called rogue planets, orbit the galactic center and are untethered to any star. When this market was created (December 28 2021), the number of confirmed exoplanets was 4884.

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