Part of Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Will Nathan Sage be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?

Q: Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner - Will Nathan Sage be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?

Current market consensus shows a 19% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #14645·0 on watchlist

Resolves Jun 2, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics

Current YES Probability

19.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 84.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$129.00

Liquidity

$607.68

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

31%

Market Microstructure

Mid

16%

Spread

7.00% (4516bps)

Depth

$608

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Jun 2, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Josh Turek	46.0%	Trade
Zach Wahls	41.5%	Trade
Nathan Sage	15.5%	Trade
Chris Henry	10.5%	Trade
Person A	-	Trade
Person C	-	Trade
Person E	-	Trade
Person G	-	Trade
Person I	-	Trade
Person K	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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