Part of Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Winner
Will National Citizen Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
Resolves Feb 12, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
1.6%0.0% (24h)
NO: 98.9%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$2,305.97
Liquidity
$2,818.67
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
2%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
1.1%
Spread
0.90% (7826bps)
Depth
$2.8k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Feb 12, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | Action |
|---|---|---|
Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary e | 55.0% | Trade |
Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary e | 40.0% | Trade |
Jatiya Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary e | 1.3% | Trade |
National Citizen Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary e | 1.1% | Trade |
Workers’ Party of Bangladesh win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary e | 0.9% | Trade |
Gono Odhikar Parishad win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary e | 0.8% | Trade |
Jatiya Samajtantrik Dal win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary e | 0.8% | Trade |
Islami Andolan Bangladesh win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary E | 0.6% | Trade |
Party C win the most seats in the Bangladesh House of the Nation E | - | Trade |
another party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary e | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bangladesh on February 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the unicameral Bangladeshi parliament, the “House of the Nation” (Jatiya Sangsad), in this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the House of the Nation in this election. If additional seats are contested after the results of this election are made official (i.e. seats reserved for women are contested at a later date), those seats will not be considered for resolution of this market. If a second house of the Bangladeshi parliament is established, seats in that house will not be considered for resolution of this market.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bangladeshi Government, specifically the Bangladesh Election Commission (https://www.ecs.gov.bd/?lang=en).
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