Part of Will New Glenn Flight 3 launch by...?
Will New Glenn Flight 3 launch by December 31, 2025?
Rank #14461·0 on watchlist
Resolves Feb 15, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
9.6%0.0% (24h)
NO: 94.7%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$142.34
Liquidity
$1,404.47
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
11%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
5.3%
Spread
8.60% (16226bps)
Depth
$1.4k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Feb 15, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Glenn Flight 3 (NG-3) successfully launches from its launch pad by the specified date, 11:59PM ET.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by Blue Origin (https://www.youtube.com/@blueorigin/streams), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of New Glenn with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Trending in General
#1
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
+0.0%
#2
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?
+0.0%
#3
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
+0.0%