Part of Will New Glenn Flight 3 launch by...?
Will New Glenn Flight 3 launch by January 31, 2026?
Rank #12439·0 on watchlist
Resolves Feb 15, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
73.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 35.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$2,989.27
Liquidity
$908.44
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
71%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
65%
Spread
17.00% (2636bps)
Depth
$908
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Feb 15, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Glenn Flight 3 (NG-3) successfully launches from its launch pad by the specified date, 11:59PM ET.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by Blue Origin (https://www.youtube.com/@blueorigin/streams), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of New Glenn with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
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