Part of Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?

Q: Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027? - Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?

Current market consensus shows a 72% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist

Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics

Current YES Probability

72.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 58.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$0.00

Liquidity

$503.44

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

83%

Market Microstructure

Mid

42%

Spread

61.00% (14699bps)

Depth

$503

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Dec 31, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Greece	57.0%	Trade
Belgium	52.0%	Trade
Finland	51.0%	Trade
Austria	50.0%	Trade
Italy	47.0%	Trade
The Netherlands	43.5%	Trade
New Zealand	41.5%	Trade
Japan	40.5%	Trade
Germany	18.0%	Trade
the US	9.5%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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