Part of Which artists will release a new song before 2026?
Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2025?
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
39.7%0.0% (24h)
NO: 79.7%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$167.15
Liquidity
$45.78
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
41%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
20%
Spread
38.70% (19017bps)
Depth
$46
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | Action |
|---|---|---|
JAY-Z release a new song in 2025 | 48.5% | Trade |
Olivia Rodrigo release a new song in 2025 | 47.9% | Trade |
BTS release a new song in 2025 | 47.8% | Trade |
A$AP Rocky release a new song in 2025 | 42.0% | Trade |
Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2025 | 20.3% | Trade |
Beyoncé release a new song in 2025 | 14.3% | Trade |
Lana Del Rey release a new song in 2025 | 13.5% | Trade |
Frank Ocean release a new song before 2026 | 12.8% | Trade |
Kanye West release a new song in 2025 | 10.4% | Trade |
Kendrick Lamar release a new song in 2025 | 4.7% | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new song between October 9 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, will also not count.
If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them.
For listed groups of artists, tracks released by individual members, sub-units, or under any designation other than the listed group name will not count toward resolution.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Trending in General
#1
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
+0.0%
#2
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?
+0.0%
#3
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
+0.0%

