Part of How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?

Rank #7558·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 28, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowEconomics
Current YES Probability
4.7%0.0% (24h)
NO: 96.8% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$1,179.80
Liquidity
$2,679.27
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
6%

Market Microstructure

Mid
3.3%
Spread
2.90% (8923bps)
Depth
$2.7k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 28, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Economics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
two people
42.0%Trade
three people
30.0%Trade
one person
21.0%Trade
four or more people
18.5%Trade
no one
3.3%Trade

Resolution Rules

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 27-28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 27-28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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