Part of 3rd largest company end of January?

Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Q: 3rd largest company end of January? - Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Current market consensus shows a 34% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist

Resolves Jan 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

34.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 81.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$5.88

Liquidity

$2,240.39

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

37%

Market Microstructure

Mid

19%

Spread

31.00% (16757bps)

Depth

$2.2k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Jan 31, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Alphabet	67.5%	Trade
Microsoft	21.5%	Trade
Apple	20.0%	Trade
NVIDIA	18.5%	Trade
Tesla	16.7%	Trade
Amazon	5.5%	Trade
Oracle	5.0%	Trade
Saudi Aramco	1.1%	Trade
Company A	-	Trade
Company D	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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