Part of Precipitation in NYC in January?

Will NYC have more than 7 inches of precipitation in January?

Rank #11133·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowScience & Tech
Current YES Probability
12.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 91.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$79.99
Liquidity
$357.96
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
17%

Market Microstructure

Mid
8.5%
Spread
7.00% (8235bps)
Depth
$358
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Science & Tech
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
less than 3
51.0%Trade
between 3 and 4
20.5%Trade
between 4 and 5
19.0%Trade
between 5 and 6
15.0%Trade
between 6 and 7
15.0%Trade
more than 7
8.5%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between January 1 and January 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for January 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of January 2026. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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