Part of Critics Choice Awards: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner

Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 4, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
89.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 18.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$256.47
Liquidity
$28.81
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
37%

Market Microstructure

Mid
82%
Spread
15.00% (1840bps)
Depth
$29
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 4, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
One Battle After Another
81.5%Trade
Train Dreams
12.7%Trade
Frankenstein
10.2%Trade
Hamnet
10.0%Trade
No Other Choice
7.9%Trade
Bugonia
4.0%Trade
Film A
-Trade
Film C
-Trade
Film E
-Trade
Film G
-Trade

Resolution Rules

The Critics Choice Awards are presented annually by the American Critics Choice Association to honor achievements in film. For the Critics Choice Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced by December 5, 2025, followed by the ceremony on January 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Critics Choice Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Awards and the American Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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