Part of The Actor Awards Nominations: Best Ensemble in a Comedy Series

Will Only Murders in the Building be nominated for Best Ensemble in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Rank #10653·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 7, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
80.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 50.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$60.61
Liquidity
$49.73
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
100%

Market Microstructure

Mid
50%
Spread
60.00% (12000bps)
Depth
$50
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 7, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Abbott Elementary
78.0%Trade
Hacks
72.5%Trade
The Studio
67.5%Trade
The Four Seasons
51.0%Trade
Only Murders in the Building
50.0%Trade
Wednesday
50.0%Trade
Shrinking
48.0%Trade
The Bear
46.5%Trade
The Paper
45.0%Trade
I Love L.A
44.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed series is nominated for the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Comedy Series, otherwise it will resolve to "No". If for any reason no nominations are announced by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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