Part of The Actor Awards Winner: Best Supporting Actor - Film

Will Paul Mescal win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Rank #13074·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Mar 1, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
25.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 81.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$10.00
Liquidity
$399.96
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
37%

Market Microstructure

Mid
19%
Spread
13.00% (7027bps)
Depth
$400
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Mar 1, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Benicio del Toro
54.0%Trade
Stellan Skarsgard
20.5%Trade
Paul Mescal
18.5%Trade
Adam Sandler
15.5%Trade
Jacob Elordi
13.0%Trade
Actor B
-Trade
Actor C
-Trade
Actor E
-Trade
Actor L
-Trade
Actor Q
-Trade

Resolution Rules

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture, otherwise it will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed actor whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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