Will PENAC win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Costa Rica on February 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Costa Rican Legislative Assembly in this election. If voting in the Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the second most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the election results as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Costa Rica's Supreme Electoral Tribunal (Tribunal Supremo de Elecciones) (https://www.tse.go.cr/index.html).