Part of Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

Will Phil Mendelson win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

Q: Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? - Will Phil Mendelson win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

Current market consensus shows a 9% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist

Resolves — BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics

Current YES Probability

8.7%0.0% (24h)

NO: 95.3%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$86.00

Liquidity

$806.48

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

Market Microstructure

Mid

4.7%

Spread

8.00% (17021bps)

Depth

$806

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

TBD

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Janeese Lewis George	43.5%	Trade
Kenyan McDuffie	23.5%	Trade
Zachary Parker	6.5%	Trade
Phil Mendelson	4.7%	Trade
Brooke Pinto	4.4%	Trade
Karl Racine	3.8%	Trade
Brianne K. Nadeau	2.5%	Trade
Robert White Jr	2.3%	Trade
Brian Schwalb	1.3%	Trade
Christina Henderson	1.1%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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