Part of What countries will Pope Leo visit before 2027?
Will Pope Leo XIV visit Portugal before Jan 1, 2027?
Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
Resolves Jan 8, 2027 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
44.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 61.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$400.40
Liquidity
$285.08
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
88%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
42%
Spread
5.00% (1205bps)
Open Interest
543 contracts
Tick Size
1.0%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jan 8, 2027
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | Action |
|---|---|---|
XIV visit Argentina | 72.0% | Trade |
XIV visit Uruguay | 57.0% | Trade |
XIV visit Portugal | 44.0% | Trade |
XIV visit Peru | 43.0% | Trade |
XIV visit Brazil | 26.0% | Trade |
XIV visit United States | 23.0% | Trade |
XIV visit Mexico | 23.0% | Trade |
XIV visit Philippines | 20.0% | Trade |
XIV visit Israel | 20.0% | Trade |
XIV visit Ukraine | 14.0% | Trade |
Resolution Rules
No specific rules provided.
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