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Part of Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Rank #8749·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
1.5%0.0% (24h)
NO: 98.8%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$29,959.07
Liquidity
$13,223.37
Moderate
Volatility
—
Market Split
2%

Market Microstructure

Mid
1.2%
Spread
0.60% (5000bps)
Depth
$13.2k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
33.0%Trade
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
32.0%Trade
Avengers: Doomsday
16.0%Trade
Toy Story 5
5.5%Trade
The Odyssey
5.1%Trade
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
5.0%Trade
Michael
1.8%Trade
Dune: Messiah
1.8%Trade
Project Hail Mary
1.2%Trade
Jumanji 3
1.1%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

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