Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Q: FIFA World Cup Group B Winner - Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Current market consensus shows a 7% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Resolves Jun 27, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowSports

Current YES Probability

7.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 95.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$178.75

Liquidity

$3,703.90

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

Market Microstructure

Mid

4.5%

Spread

5.00% (11111bps)

Depth

$3.7k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Jun 27, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Switzerland	43.5%	Trade
the winner of the Bosnia and Herzegovina/Italy/Northern Ireland/Wales playoff	35.0%	Trade
Canada	20.0%	Trade
Qatar	4.5%	Trade
another team	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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