Part of Quebec General Election Winner

Will Québec solidaire win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Rank #9094·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Oct 5, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
1.8%0.0% (24h)
NO: 98.9% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$2,050.15
Liquidity
$5,609.42
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
2%

Market Microstructure

Mid
1.1%
Spread
1.30% (11304bps)
Depth
$5.6k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Oct 5, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Parti Québécois
74.0%Trade
Parti libéral du Québec
16.5%Trade
Coalition Avenir Québec
9.5%Trade
Parti conservateur du Québec
1.5%Trade
Québec solidaire
1.1%Trade
Parti vert du Québec
0.3%Trade
Party A
-Trade
Party E
-Trade
Party I
-Trade
Party M
-Trade

Resolution Rules

Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).

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