Part of Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?

Q: Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner - Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?

Current market consensus shows a 55% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #14645·0 on watchlist

Resolves Mar 17, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics

Current YES Probability

55.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 47.0%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$993.25

Liquidity

$682.28

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

94%

Market Microstructure

Mid

53%

Spread

4.00% (755bps)

Depth

$682

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Mar 17, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Raja Krishnamoorthi	53.0%	Trade
Juliana Stratton	28.0%	Trade
Robin Kelly	9.5%	Trade
Bryan Maxwell	8.9%	Trade
Adair Rodriquez	0.8%	Trade
Steve Botsford Jr	0.3%	Trade
Awisi Bustos	0.3%	Trade
Adam Delgado	0.3%	Trade
Jump Shepherd	0.3%	Trade
Christopher Swann	0.3%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois. If no 2026 Illinois Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Illinois Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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