Part of TX-31 Republican Primary Winner
Will Raymond Hamden be the Republican nominee for TX-31?
Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
Resolves Mar 3, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
82.9%0.0% (24h)
NO: 58.1%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$110.00
Liquidity
$218.42
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
84%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
42%
Spread
82.10% (19618bps)
Depth
$218
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Mar 3, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Trending in Politics
#1
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
+0.0%
#2
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?
+0.0%
#3
Will Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
+0.0%