Part of House New York 4th

Will Republican win the House race for NY-4?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
kalshi
Resolves Nov 3, 2027 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
22.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 85.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$39.60
Liquidity
$96.30
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
44%

Market Microstructure

Mid
19%
Spread
7.00% (3784bps)
Open Interest
180 contracts
Tick Size
1.0%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Nov 3, 2027
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Democratic
81.0%Trade
Republican
22.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

No specific rules provided.

Trending in General

#1
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
+0.0%
#2
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?
+0.0%
#3
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
+0.0%