Current YES Probability
79.5%0.0% (24h)
NO: 59.6%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$3,308.63
Liquidity
$84.91
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
81%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
40%
Spread
78.20% (19356bps)
Depth
$85
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any vaccine has its Biologics License Application (BLA) approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) revoked by the FDA or is voluntarily withdrawn for reasons related to health, safety, or efficacy by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Withdrawing approval solely due to seasonality, low demand, or an emergency ending will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. Similarly, a reduction in the scope of approved recipients, without fully eliminating the approval will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution."
The resolution source will be official FDA announcements and guidance published on the FDA website (see: https://www.cdc.gov/acip-recs/hcp/vaccine-specific/).
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