Part of Alaska Senate Election Winner

Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Nov 3, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
0.5%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.6% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$1,669.62
Liquidity
$9,417.42
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
1%

Market Microstructure

Mid
0.40%
Spread
0.20% (5000bps)
Depth
$9.4k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Nov 3, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Dan Sullivan
58.5%Trade
Mary Peltola
34.0%Trade
Ann Diener
4.0%Trade
Richard Grayson
0.4%Trade
Dustin Darden
0.4%Trade
Candidate A
-Trade
Candidate C
-Trade
Candidate E
-Trade
Candidate G
-Trade
Candidate I
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

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