Part of Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Q: Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 - Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Current market consensus shows a 1% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #2732·0 on watchlist

Resolves Nov 7, 2028 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics

Current YES Probability

1.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 99.1%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$2,008,220.13

Liquidity

$160,560.76

Deep

Volatility

—

Market Split

100%

Market Microstructure

Mid

0.90%

Spread

0.20% (2222bps)

Depth

$160.6k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Nov 7, 2028

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
J.D. Vance	53.5%	Trade
Marco Rubio	8.8%	Trade
Donald Trump	4.9%	Trade
Ron DeSantis	3.9%	Trade
Tucker Carlson	2.6%	Trade
Marjorie Taylor Greene	2.6%	Trade
Donald Trump Jr	2.3%	Trade
Glenn Youngkin	1.8%	Trade
Brian Kemp	1.3%	Trade
Nikki Haley	1.1%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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