Part of MI-10 Republican Primary Winner

Will Robert Lulgjuraj be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Aug 4, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
74.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 60.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$1.08
Liquidity
$53.96
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
79%

Market Microstructure

Mid
40%
Spread
69.00% (17468bps)
Depth
$54
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Aug 4, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Justin Kirk
45.5%Trade
Casey Armitage
45.0%Trade
Steven Elliott
41.0%Trade
Robert Lulgjuraj
39.5%Trade
Mike Bouchard
38.0%Trade
Person A
-Trade
Person C
-Trade
Person E
-Trade
Person G
-Trade
Person I
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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