Part of Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Will Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Rank #14645·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
37.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 74.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$80.00
Liquidity
$794.76
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
51%

Market Microstructure

Mid
26%
Spread
23.00% (9020bps)
Depth
$795
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Kash Patel
70.5%Trade
Pam Bondi
64.0%Trade
Kristi Noem
50.0%Trade
Susie Wiles
49.5%Trade
David Sacks
49.0%Trade
John Ratcliffe
47.5%Trade
Dan Scavino
44.5%Trade
Pete Hegseth
38.0%Trade
Tom Homan
31.0%Trade
Robert F. Kennedy Jr
29.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

Trending in General

#1
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
+0.0%
#2
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?
+0.0%
#3
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
+0.0%