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Part of KY-06 Republican Primary Winner

Will Ryan Dotson be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves May 19, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
93.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 50.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$3.96
Liquidity
$4.71
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
99%

Market Microstructure

Mid
50%
Spread
87.00% (17576bps)
Depth
$5
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
May 19, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Ryan Dotson
49.5%Trade
Ralph Alvarado
49.5%Trade
Greg Plucinski
48.5%Trade
Adam Perez Arquette
47.0%Trade
Gavin Solomon
45.0%Trade
Person C
-Trade
Person G
-Trade
Person K
-Trade
Person O
-Trade
another candidate
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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