Part of Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?
Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
Resolves Jun 2, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
20.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 81.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$4,372.88
Liquidity
$2,982.78
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
38%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
19%
Spread
2.00% (1053bps)
Depth
$3.0k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jun 2, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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