Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
Resolves Jun 30, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowScience & Tech
Current YES Probability
94.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 48.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$13.88
Liquidity
$60.86
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
97%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
52%
Spread
85.00% (16505bps)
Depth
$61
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jun 30, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Science & Tech
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trending in Science & Tech
#1
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
+0.0%
#2
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
+0.0%
#3
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
+0.0%