Part of Precipitation in Seattle in December?

Will Seattle have less than 4 inches of precipitation in December?

Rank #9503·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
5.5%0.0% (24h)
NO: 97.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$256.00
Liquidity
$359.89
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
6%

Market Microstructure

Mid
2.9%
Spread
5.10% (17288bps)
Depth
$360
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
between 6 and 7
43.0%Trade
between 7 and 8
42.5%Trade
more than 8
40.0%Trade
between 5 and 6
3.1%Trade
less than 4
2.9%Trade
between 4 and 5
1.8%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between December 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for December 2025 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of December 2025. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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