Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Q: NBA MVP - Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Current market consensus shows a 57% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Resolves Jun 10, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowSports

Current YES Probability

57.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 45.0%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$221,533.07

Liquidity

$37,383.88

Moderate

Volatility

—

Market Split

90%

Market Microstructure

Mid

55%

Spread

4.00% (727bps)

Depth

$37.4k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Jun 10, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	55.0%	Trade
Nikola Jokic	30.5%	Trade
Luka Doncic	8.5%	Trade
Victor Wembanyama	4.1%	Trade
Cade Cunningham	0.9%	Trade
Tyrese Maxey	0.6%	Trade
Anthony Edwards	0.6%	Trade
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.5%	Trade
Jalen Brunson	0.4%	Trade
Devin Booker	0.4%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is awarded the 2025–26 regular season NBA Most Valuable Player (MVP) Award. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 NBA MVP award, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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