Will Shawn Harris win the GA-14 special election?

Q: GA-14 special election winner? - Will Shawn Harris win the GA-14 special election?

Current market consensus shows a 2% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist

Resolves Feb 15, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics

Current YES Probability

1.9%0.0% (24h)

NO: 98.8%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$81.08

Liquidity

$611.56

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

Market Microstructure

Mid

1.2%

Spread

1.40% (11667bps)

Depth

$612

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Feb 15, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Colton Moore	61.3%	Trade
Chuck Hufstetler	5.8%	Trade
Kasey Carpenter	5.8%	Trade
Star Black	5.0%	Trade
Jason Anavitarte	4.7%	Trade
Marcus Flowers	4.7%	Trade
Elvis Casely	4.7%	Trade
Uloma Ekpete Kama	4.7%	Trade
Trey Kelley	4.7%	Trade
Clarence Blalock	4.7%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.

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