Part of SCOTUS members resigning

Will Sonia Sotomayor resign during Trump's term?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
kalshi
Resolves Jan 20, 2029 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
8.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 95.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$474.64
Liquidity
$1,032.06
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
16%

Market Microstructure

Mid
6.5%
Spread
3.00% (4615bps)
Open Interest
2,004 contracts
Tick Size
1.0%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 20, 2029
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Samuel Alito
66.0%Trade
Clarence Thomas
42.0%Trade
John Roberts
14.0%Trade
Sonia Sotomayor
8.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

No specific rules provided.

Trending in General

#1
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
+0.0%
#2
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?
+0.0%
#3
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
+0.0%