Part of Which continent will win the 2026 Fifa World Cup?

Will South America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rank #13874·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves — BinaryUpdated just nowSports
Current YES Probability
28.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 73.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$2,335.76
Liquidity
$2,293.80
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
53%

Market Microstructure

Mid
27%
Spread
3.00% (1132bps)
Depth
$2.3k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
TBD
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Sports
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Will Europe
66.0%Trade
Will South America
26.5%Trade
Will Africa
4.0%Trade
Will North America
3.5%Trade
Will Oceania
1.9%Trade
Will Asia
1.5%Trade
Will another continent
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026. For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent). The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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