Part of How many SpaceX launches in 2025?

Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2025?

Rank #6063·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
0.2%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.9% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$174,210.92
Liquidity
$12,319.16
Moderate
Volatility
Market Split
0%

Market Microstructure

Mid
0.15%
Spread
0.10% (6667bps)
Depth
$12.3k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
between 160-179
98.6%Trade
between 180-199
1.3%Trade
200 or more
0.1%Trade
less than 100
-Trade
between 100-119
-Trade
between 120-139
-Trade
between 140-159
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX has 200 or more launches in 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source is the FAA, specifically the number shown next to SpaceX when 2025 is selected here https://www.faa.gov/data_research/commercial_space_data.

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