Part of Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowScience & Tech
Current YES Probability
3.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 97.8% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$30,011.14
Liquidity
$4,612.63
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
5%

Market Microstructure

Mid
2.3%
Spread
1.50% (6667bps)
Depth
$4.6k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Science & Tech
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Elon Musk
99.7%Trade
Steve Ballmer
2.3%Trade
Larry Page
1.5%Trade
Sergey Brin
0.3%Trade
Warren Buffett
0.1%Trade
Bernard Arnault
0.1%Trade
Mark Zuckerberg
0.1%Trade
Jeff Bezos
0.1%Trade
Larry Ellison
0.1%Trade
Jensen Huang
0.1%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

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