Part of Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Will Steve Simon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Q: Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner - Will Steve Simon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Current market consensus shows a 1% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist

Resolves Aug 11, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics

Current YES Probability

1.1%0.0% (24h)

NO: 99.3%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$185.03

Liquidity

$570.91

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

Market Microstructure

Mid

0.75%

Spread

0.70% (9333bps)

Depth

$571

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Aug 11, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Angie Craig	50.5%	Trade
Peggy Flanagan	45.0%	Trade
Keith Ellison	3.3%	Trade
Betty McCollum	3.3%	Trade
Ilhan Omar	1.7%	Trade
Melisa López Franzen	1.7%	Trade
Jacob Frey	1.5%	Trade
David Wellstone	1.4%	Trade
Steve Simon	0.8%	Trade
Melisa Hortman	0.3%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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