Part of Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?

Q: Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30? - Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?

Current market consensus shows a 20% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist

Resolves — BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

20.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 85.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$528.80

Liquidity

$249.16

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

29%

Market Microstructure

Mid

15%

Spread

11.00% (7586bps)

Depth

$249

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

TBD

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Will Tunisia	47.5%	Trade
Will Bangladesh	39.0%	Trade
Will Malaysia	36.0%	Trade
Will Iraq	30.0%	Trade
Will Venezuela	18.0%	Trade
Will Afghanistan	17.0%	Trade
Will Syria	14.5%	Trade
Will Saudi Arabia	14.5%	Trade
Will Kuwait	11.0%	Trade
Will Indonesia	11.0%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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