Part of Brazil Presidency

Will Tarcisio de Frietas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Rank #8384·0 on watchlist
kalshi
Resolves Oct 25, 2027 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
20.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 82.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$15,448.68
Liquidity
$15,337.23
Moderate
Volatility
Market Split
40%

Market Microstructure

Mid
19%
Spread
2.00% (1053bps)
Open Interest
30,073 contracts
Tick Size
1.0%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Oct 25, 2027
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
49.0%Trade
Flávio Bolsonaro
24.0%Trade
Tarcisio de Frietas
20.0%Trade
Ratinho Júnior
11.0%Trade
Renan Santos
7.0%Trade
Fernando Haddad
5.0%Trade
Michelle Bolsonaro
3.0%Trade
Jair Bolsonaro
3.0%Trade
Eduardo Bolsonaro
3.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

No specific rules provided.

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