Current YES Probability
2.7%0.0% (24h)
NO: 97.6%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$999,399.97
Liquidity
$15,325.90
Moderate
Volatility
—
Market Split
5%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
2.4%
Spread
0.60% (2500bps)
Depth
$15.3k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Feb 28, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the value of costumes duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/) is greater than $250b. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the Treasury Department.
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