Polymarket•General
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q1 2026
Yes
2%
Very unlikely2¢ implied
History not available yet
Outcomes in Series
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026
22%
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026
22%
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026
21%
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q1 2026
9%
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q1 2026
8%
Last update: —
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q1 2026.
If Tesla does not publish Q1 2026 delivery figures by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
Market CloseMar 31, 2026