Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Rank #8944·0 on watchlist
Resolves Jun 30, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowScience & Tech
Current YES Probability
51.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 53.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$2,916.37
Liquidity
$1,485.83
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
93%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
47%
Spread
9.00% (1935bps)
Depth
$1.5k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jun 30, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Science & Tech
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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