Part of closest senate race

Will Texas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
kalshi
Resolves Jan 10, 2027 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
11.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 92.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$68.42
Liquidity
$312.61
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
22%

Market Microstructure

Mid
9.5%
Spread
3.00% (3158bps)
Open Interest
607 contracts
Tick Size
1.0%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 10, 2027
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Will Georgia
24.0%Trade
Will Maine
18.0%Trade
Will Texas
11.0%Trade
Will Michigan
11.0%Trade
Will Ohio
10.0%Trade
Will North Carolina
10.0%Trade
Will Iowa
10.0%Trade
Will New Hampshire
6.0%Trade
Will Minnesota
5.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

No specific rules provided.

Trending in General

#1
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
+0.0%
#2
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?
+0.0%
#3
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
+0.0%