Part of How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowEconomics
Current YES Probability
94.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 25.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$93.95
Liquidity
$206.05
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
50%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
75%
Spread
38.00% (5067bps)
Depth
$206
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Economics
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
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