Part of New Year's Rockin' Eve # of viewers?

Will the 2025–2026 edition of Dick Clark's New Year's Rockin' Eve have between 22.5 million and 25 million viewers?

Rank #15617·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 1, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
73.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 62.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$68.39
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
76%

Market Microstructure

Mid
38%
Spread
70.00% (18421bps)
Depth
$68
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 1, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
between 17.5 million and 20
48.5%Trade
fewer than 17.5
48.0%Trade
between 25 million and 27.5
47.5%Trade
between 20 million and 22.5
45.0%Trade
at least 27.5
44.5%Trade
between 22.5 million and 25
38.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the total number of viewers Nielsen reports the 2025-2026 edition of Dick Clark’s New Year's Rockin’ Eve with Ryan Seacrest as having. If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the 2025-2026 edition of Dick Clark’s New Year's Rockin’ Eve with Ryan Seacrest may also be used. If Dick Clark’s New Year's Rockin’ Eve with Ryan Seacrest takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the show within 10 days, another credible source may be chosen.

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